Written by P O'Neill on September 22nd, 2012
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If you had tried to follow the debate on the bill reforming personal bankruptcy in Ireland, what would you have learned over the last few weeks? From the opposition you’d have learned that awful Alan Shatter wants to take away people’s wedding rings, and from Alan Shatter you’d have learned that we had a massive [...]
Written by P O'Neill on June 15th, 2012
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Bloomberg News story on Ireland’s lessons for Spain – Finnish Prime Minister Jyrki Katainen said on June 11 that Spain should split up some lenders, with some loans dispatched to a bad bank, as Ireland did. Actual quote from Finnish PM via Bloomberg News 3 days earlier – “The unhealthy banks should be brought down [...]
Written by P O'Neill on May 27th, 2012
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Whether we vote Yes or No on the fiscal treaty referendum, we’ll still have a shambles of a property market when it’s over. With the Central Bank recently publishing new data about the weakness in residential mortgages, its useful to look at one of the key drivers of the property market i.e. valuations.
Written by P O'Neill on April 12th, 2012
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The IMF has published a self-evaluation of its massive lending program to Iceland — a program which Iceland has now exited. Although a little technical, it’s an interesting read, but of course the people who should read it — the Irish Department of Finance types who mocked Iceland in 2009-2010 — won’t. There are two [...]
Written by P O'Neill on December 2nd, 2011
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From Bank of England’s Financial Stability Report. Illustrated here is that when it comes to deleveraging — banks dumping loans to shrink their balance sheets — NAMA is up there with the biggest of the European banks. Indeed, for this purpose, NAMA is best seen as being like a massively overextended large European bank, banks [...]
Written by P O'Neill on March 3rd, 2011
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At this pace of news dumps, we’re going to need a bigger Dumpster. Today it’s the report into why Brian Lenihan misled Chris Andrews in response to his parliamentary question about the payment of bonuses at Bank of Ireland (the same question triggered the AIB bonus row). First, a digression. Let’s suppose you were considering [...]
Written by P O'Neill on February 24th, 2011
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Rediscovering his “mandate” mojo on Election Eve, Brian Lenihan has moved virtually all of Anglo’s deposits and NAMA bonds to AIB. An impolite question: where exactly is AIB getting the €3.5 billion in cash that it’s paying for the NAMA bonds? Yes, it just sold the Polish operation to Banco Santander but that cash was [...]
Written by P O'Neill on February 18th, 2011
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Bank of Ireland has done a Friday afternoon news dump of a provisional set of accounts for 2010 and an associated announcement that it will make a dividend payment on the National Pension Farewell Fund’s preference shares in the company — last year, the Bank was under a “dividend stopper” order from the European Commission [...]
Written by P O'Neill on January 15th, 2011
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Brian Lenihan, 8 December 2010 – People should not be surprised that there’s a huge erosion of trust in the Irish banking system when we’ve an endless debate on whether we should be defaulting on the payment of our obligations,” he said. “A small country like Ireland cannot default without the support of a central [...]
Written by P O'Neill on January 14th, 2011
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It’s going to be a long weekend for Brian Cowen so this will have to be a frequently updated post. Let’s start with the seemingly damaging Irish Times story that Anglo lobbied Central Bank director and Druid’s Glen diner Alan Gray the day before the guarantee – Anglo had sought a €1.5 billion short-term loan [...]
Written by P O'Neill on January 1st, 2011
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What is an Irish Mortgage-Backed Promissory Note? Below the fold, some thoughts — on what may be old news — about this question.
Written by P O'Neill on December 30th, 2010
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New statistics from Central Bank of Ireland – Credit institutions’ holdings of debt and equity securities issued by the Irish private sector rose by €5.3 billion in November 2010. Banks buying more securities issued by the private sector … what could possibly be the downside?
Written by P O'Neill on November 24th, 2010
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It appears that another day of the slow motion crisis, featuring rumours that the European Financial Stability Fund will charge a 7 percent interest along with an apparently bleak panel on Vincent Browne, will lead to a few sleepless nights. There were the occasional bits of entertainment along the way. Brian Cowen’s repeated references in [...]
Written by P O'Neill on November 13th, 2010
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Brian Cowen as quoted by Irish Times – “So the sovereign, if you like, has that funding arrangement in place. We don’t have to borrow any money in respect of the sovereign issues that affect the Government . . .’’ From the FAQs for the European Financial Stability Facility – A16 – Will the EFSF [...]
Written by P O'Neill on October 15th, 2010
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As a country heavily dependent on banking, Switzerland should have had a bad financial crisis. And in various respects, including the necessity for government intervention in the banking sector, it did. Nevertheless, its 2009 growth rate of -1.5 percent would have been gladly taken in Ireland. Anyway, since Switzerland is also a country where there [...]
Written by P O'Neill on September 30th, 2010
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Financial Times – Officials concede that the specialist property lender [Anglo Irish] was probably insolvent in September 2008 when the government guaranteed the balance sheets of all six domestic lenders. But, as one senior official put it, “if we’d known then what we know now”, a different approach would have been taken. Brian Cowen, just [...]