Written by P O'Neill on December 2nd, 2011
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From Bank of England’s Financial Stability Report. Illustrated here is that when it comes to deleveraging — banks dumping loans to shrink their balance sheets — NAMA is up there with the biggest of the European banks. Indeed, for this purpose, NAMA is best seen as being like a massively overextended large European bank, banks [...]
Written by Future Taoiseach on June 23rd, 2011
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Recent months have seen the issue of prostitution come to prominence as the Presidential election approaches. A disturbing parallel with the Lisbon debate is evident in the near unanimity of the political and intellectual ‘Establishment’ for a blind support of traditional policy approaches. How can someone simultaneously claims the mantle of liberalism while also attempting [...]
Written by P O'Neill on June 5th, 2011
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IMF statement on the US$3 billion loan for Egypt – A number of fundamental structural reforms, including the transition to a VAT-like consumption tax and reform of the highly inequitable and costly system of subsidies, are needed to improve the efficiency of public spending and help reduce the fiscal deficit in the medium term. We [...]
Written by P O'Neill on May 5th, 2011
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Wall Street Journal article with an interesting bit of news – Last fall, the [UK] FSA [Financial Services Authority] successfully pushed the Bank of Ireland to convert its U.K. operations from a branch into a subsidiary that required more capital, according to people familiar with the matter. The agency also required the U.K. subsidiary of Allied Irish Banks [...]
Written by P O'Neill on April 19th, 2011
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With the trilogy of Lenihan-era reports into Ireland’s financial collapse now completed (Regling-Watson, Honohan, and now Nyberg), there is now a lot of good information from which to draw. But if you were hoping that completion of the trilogy meant something on the order of Return of the Jedi in terms of closure, you’d be [...]
Written by P O'Neill on March 3rd, 2011
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At this pace of news dumps, we’re going to need a bigger Dumpster. Today it’s the report into why Brian Lenihan misled Chris Andrews in response to his parliamentary question about the payment of bonuses at Bank of Ireland (the same question triggered the AIB bonus row). First, a digression. Let’s suppose you were considering [...]
Written by P O'Neill on March 1st, 2011
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Brian Lenihan has finally released his favourite selective leak document of the last couple of months, the independent review into the capacity of the Dept of Finance and its performance over the last 10 years. As the Minister — fresh from his Alamo stand for Fianna Fail in Dublin — says The Minister appointed the [...]
Written by P O'Neill on February 27th, 2011
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A couple of semi-formed thoughts of issues that perhaps deserved a little more attention in all the relentless punditry.
Written by P O'Neill on February 24th, 2011
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Rediscovering his “mandate” mojo on Election Eve, Brian Lenihan has moved virtually all of Anglo’s deposits and NAMA bonds to AIB. An impolite question: where exactly is AIB getting the €3.5 billion in cash that it’s paying for the NAMA bonds? Yes, it just sold the Polish operation to Banco Santander but that cash was [...]
Written by P O'Neill on February 18th, 2011
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Bank of Ireland has done a Friday afternoon news dump of a provisional set of accounts for 2010 and an associated announcement that it will make a dividend payment on the National Pension Farewell Fund’s preference shares in the company — last year, the Bank was under a “dividend stopper” order from the European Commission [...]
Written by P O'Neill on February 15th, 2011
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To the extent that we weren’t already at that point, we’ve reached the limit of Brian Lenihan’s ability to credibly perform his role as Minister for Finance. A week after claiming that he had no mandate as Minister to implement the recapitalisation of AIB, B of I, and EBS, he offered a string of inflammatory [...]
Written by P O'Neill on February 9th, 2011
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We’ve known for a while that Brian Lenihan’s statements are very slippery and therefore require especially careful analysis. Consider therefore today’s deferment of the recapitalisation of the AIB, Bank of Ireland, and EBS to March – This was to be completed by the end of February. However, the Minister has informed the European Commission, the [...]
Written by P O'Neill on February 8th, 2011
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What a long strange road it’s been. September 2008 – Irish Nationwide has reiterated that it has received no takeover approach from Anglo Irish Bank. The development follows speculation regarding the future ownership of the society. Today – The Direction Orders enable the State to commence the process of restructuring Anglo and INBS as envisaged [...]
Written by P O'Neill on January 29th, 2011
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Although we’re still in the phoney war stage of the election campaign, it seems that the basic FF strategy is to throw a bunch of, er, stuff, at the wall and see what sticks. In that regard, we got today in the Senate an interesting and tendentious exchange between Sen. Alex White (Lab.) and Minister [...]
Written by P O'Neill on January 25th, 2011
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It’s too soon to say that we are in the home stretch of our political drama. Brian Lenihan, wearing his Minister of Finance hat – “If you want to ensure that some person doesn’t pay tax, someone else has to pay tax. That’s now how we’re going to operate as a State. So as a [...]
Written by P O'Neill on January 21st, 2011
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In a news dump that would impress Andy Coulson, the government clearly put the word around yesterday that it would not be implementing the abolition of the so-called “Section 23″ property tax reliefs and this is confirmed in the Friday afternoon release of the Finance Bill, which was already overdue. Specifically, according to the Minister’s [...]