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Who Will Form the Next Government of Ireland? - Poll

The poll in the sidebar has some of the main coalition options to decide upon. Projected numbers at this stage are: FF:78 FG:51 LAB:20 SF:4 Green:6 PD:2 Ind:5
There are 8 answers at present, feel free to leave your reasons/conjecture in the comments.  If I have overlooked/forgotten an obvious one, remind me.

RTE Exit Poll for the General Election

Released just after seven o clock this morning on Morning Ireland, the RTE Exit Poll with Landsdown Marketing. Main findings below (expect analyis later).
Margin of error 2.5% (in 2002 it was effectively 1% between FF and FG)
Fianna Fail on 41.6% almost = to 2002
Fine Gael up 4% to 26.3%
Labour 9.9% down 1%
PDs down to 2.6%
Greens [...]

All is Indeed Quiet, So What is being Asked on the Exit Poll?

World by Storm awaits tomorrow’s flurry, to pass the time thought, the mysay widget is getting a bit of a test out. One of the early insights comes from Knott who is in Cork East. He was asked to take part in the Exit Poll for RTE, have a listen to what he thought of
a) [...]

The final Poll

Results as an incredible 1039 people vote in our poll.

Fianna Fail: 22% (229)
Fine Gael: 21% (220)
Labour: 14% (144)
Progressive Democrats: 13% (135)
Green Party: 12% (125)
Sinn Fein: 11% (118)
Independents: 1% (15)
Socalists: 2% (20)
Can’t vote: 2% (24)
Wouldn’t vote: 1% (9)

Something tells me that this is not representative of the nation Still there is our readers.

The Last RedC Tracking Poll on the Election

From the Business Post:
The general election race is too close to call on the eve of polling day, as the final tracking poll of the campaign suggests neither Fianna Fail and the Progressive Democrats nor Fine Gael, Labour and the Green Party will win sufficient Dail seats to form a government.
The latest figures for party [...]

Its About Keeping it Local, Stupid!

How was the election for you? Perhaps the question is a little premature as it’s still dragging on, with FG leader Enda Kenny, like a WWF contender having been knocked to ground by a devilish leg swing from an opponent he confidentially thought was floored, swinging back with the kitten punches of a child. On [...]

TNS/MRBI in Irish Times

Rumoured results thanks to Brian Boru in comments
Rumoured poll (TNS-MRBI) tomorrow:
FF 41% (+5)
FG 27%(-1)
Labour 10% (-3)
SF 9% (-1)
Greens 6% (+1)
PDs 2% (unchanged)
FF-PD: 43%
FG-Lab-Greens: 43%

Poll Results are Consistent on Trend and Show the Importance of Final Seats

So there are two polls to be reading through and picking over tomorrow morning and I reckon that on paper this looks worse for FG and better for FF than it actually is. I’ve just been reading the hard copy and in truth their numbers have been within a 2-3% range since march. The really [...]

Sunday Polls

FF 36 (+1)
FG 27 (-2)
LAB 11 (-1)
Greens 8 (+2)
SF 10 (+3)
PD 2(-1)
Ind 6(-2)
From the Sunday Independent
FF 37 (+2)
FG 25 (-1)
LAB 12 (-1)
Greens 5 (no change)
SF 9 (-1)
PD 3 (no change)
Ind 9 (+1)
Hat tip P.ie

Dublin Poll

The evening Herald has a poll of support in the capital. Interesting to see SF bigger then Green. PD’s still in margin of error.
FF 29%
FG 22%
Labour 15%
Green 8%
Progressive Democrats 3%
Sinn Fein 11%

Floating Voters

With the first of the big debates on tonight the parties will be gearing to take on the floating voters. The poll we have been running shows that 48% of people are floating voters after 203 votes. Which compared to the poll back in February when 32% said they were floating is very surprising. This [...]

For Whom The Polls Tell

Since the advent of our 24-hour news culture, I have noticed a marked increase in downright lazy journalism in the mainstream media.
Added to the raging torrent of coalition speculation and BertieGate updates, opinion polls continue to drown even the most fundamental policy issues in this election campaign.
Analyzing these surveys is to reporting what diving [...]

The second Irish Election ‘bookies Poll’

This is the second installment of our unique poll which uses individual constituency odds from bookmaker Paddy Power to predict the make up of the next Dáil (for the results of our first poll and more information on how this is put together, see here).
This time we have odds from all 43 constituencies and have [...]

Alliance for Change moving ahead in all polls

Looks like this is a first but it seems that tomorrow’s IMS poll will show the Alliance for Change, i.e. FG/Lab on 39% putting it just ahead of the current Government, i.e. FF/PD on 38%.
It’s a first as this is the first time that all the major polling companies have FG/Lab outpolling the current [...]

What can Bertie Ahern Say, and New poll.

We have run this poll for about the last week. Is there anything Bertie Ahern can say that will make you OK with him? and the result after 331 votes is 70% no 30% yes. So it looks like Bertie is still in trouble and the electorate does not seem to think there is a [...]

Why Read Manifestos? Pickyourparty.ie Will Find Your Vote A Home

The folks at the Political Science Department at Trinity are very capable, you know. Not alone do they study for exams and prepare election surveys but they have pulled time from somewhere to create pickyourparty.ie. The premise is simple, they ask you a few questions and they measure your response against a series of elite [...]

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