Not all Dublin left-wing independent TDs the same
Read more about: Dublin Central, Dublin North Central, Economy, NAMA, Oireachtas
Stephen Collins today reading the mood in the corridors of Leinster House –
When the Dáil resumes next month, the Greens, the Independents and disgruntled Fianna Fáil TDs will all be looking at each other to see if anybody looks like losing their nerve and making a bolt for the Opposition benches. The other side of the coin is that the two left-wing Dublin Independents, Finian McGrath and Maureen O’Sullivan made a point of backing the Government in some crucial votes before the summer and may continue that policy of tactical support in order to avoid an early election.
One thing is missing from this grouping of McGrath and O’Sullivan. The Dail’s last chance to vote on the NAMA/Anglo debacle was March 30, 2010, when Brian Lenihan put a motion to the House endorsing his approach. The full text of the motion is below the fold. The government didn’t need this motion for any specific measure related to Anglo (although another bombshell in relation to its capital needs was coming at that time, see below), but a defeat of the motion would have put the whole NAMAnglo debacle in play there and then.
Finian McGrath voted Tá and Maureen O’Sullivan voted Níl.
That Dáil Éireann:
—notes that the Government has taken bold and successful action to address funding problems in the Irish financial system through the introduction of the Bank Guarantee Schemes and to remove the riskiest loans from the balance sheets of the participating institutions through the NAMA process, which has the support of the IMF, the OECD, the ECB and the European Commission;
—affirms that the Irish economy needs a functioning banking system that enjoys the trust of depositors, international markets and the community at large in order to benefit from the global economic recovery;
—supports the Government in the measures it is announcing today for the final phase of the stabilisation process of the banking system;
—supports the Government in the actions it is taking to ensure that each participating institution in the NAMA process will meet the Financial Regulator’s new capital standards by the end of 2010; and
—supports the Government’s structured and measured approach to the issues facing the financial sector in general, which represents the best way to secure its interests and those of the recovering economy while keeping in mind the requirements of the EU.
After the motion was tabled, the Minister’s opening statement included –
The unavoidable reality is that the bank has incurred losses from its large-scale property lending and needs substantial further capital. Unpalatable as it is, only the taxpayer can provide that capital. It is the least worst option. For this reason, I am this week providing €8.3 billion to support the capital position of the bank to take account of the bank’s losses to date. Additional capital support is likely to be required depending on the NAMA discount on the first tranche of Anglo Irish Bank loans transferred to it. The bank will provide comprehensive information on its financial position in its annual report for the 15-month period to end 2009 which will be published later this week. The bank will need further capital to cover future losses and accomplish the restructuring of the bank and its balance sheet. The current estimate is that this could be of the order of a further €10 billion over time.
That brought the known tab for Anglo to €22 billion.
Head over to our T
We know that the threat to this govt. will be greatest when the time comes to vote through the upcoming budget. Middle ranking management all over the sectors are implimenting harsh and shortsighted cuts which are hurting special needs education services, A&E in regional hospitals ( controversy just erupted over Naas hospital trolley problem this week)and weekend surgery teams in Crumlin ( this I have personal experience of).
The efficiencies and restructurings are not being carried out meaningfully. The type of cuts which are in place are not sustainable in a first world society as public services presently are. One solution imho would be shrinkage of govt and semistates and privatisation of roads, power and some others while preserving fundamental rights to education and health.
Against the backdrop of current front line privations I think many TDs will baulk at the choices they face and rightly so. Sometime, we must revision a society and not just an economy. We might all get a surprise yet as to which TD and what issue this govt will be brought down by.
Des, I’ll be watching in particular whether FF can hold the line in Meath on Navan Hospital. It’ll be tougher for the reps to show their faces in the Meath Chronicle with that festering situation.
P,
Maureen O’Sullivan is in less danger of losing her seat in Dublin Central in the next general election than Finian McGrath in Dublin North Central. Mc Grath at c.5,000 first preferences was almost 2,000 votes behind Ivor Callely (God help us!) after the first count in 2007 and would have lost to him without a massive transfer from the Greens and Labour on the last count. Mc Grath needs to build up his first preference vote considerably if he’s going to survive at the next election, in which he will face much stronger competition from a revitalised and popular Labour Party and where there will be fewer transfers available to him from a much reduced Green vote. O’Sullivan, on the other hand, won’t have Bertie Ahern hoovering up a gargantuan share of the first preferences in her constituency to worry about. I think if you look at the Dail voting record there is probably more than one instance of the votes of Independents cancelling one another out(?). That’s what is in their own best interests – they don’t need to take individual responsibility for bringing the government down, for which, electorally, they will get no thanks anyway irrespective of the principle involved. Far better to let the Government parties do it for themselves.
Why is it that Finian McGrath is not interviewd about his intenition to vote on the next budget…He’s getting off very lightly..