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Trying to cut some numbers to take account of the myriad comings and goings experienced in the current Dáil. Anyone want to poke holes? Sure am missing something. First draft looks like this:
(Thanks to Conor for providing a graphic of my figures).
Post a comment below:
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See this link – http://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/Zo5vc0EDX-033wPp1ESlyg?feat=directlink
Clearer picture of the above.
Doesn’t make a difference to numbers but Tony Gregory/Maureen O Sullivan and the change in Cheann Chomhairle
@Ian
I was thinking of putting those in. But since they didn’t result in a change in Government seats or party seats, I left them out.
Finian formally supported the Government at the start. Not sure if he still does or not.
Correct, and the statement above reflects Finian’s standings.
HI Keith, Finian was part of the original pact but withdrew his support from the government after the 2008 budget. He is shown in above as moving from the Ind (+) column to the Ind (-) column for the government votes.
Ah yes – sorry. Thought you were including him in Opposition from day 1.
I know it’s hardly set in stone or anything but given recent speeches on their behalves, in the Dáil and in the media, I couldn’t see McDaid, Devins or Scanlon jumping to support the Government at the first opportunity in a divisive vote. Not, of course, that they’ve said so explicitly.
I have to say that I’d not count Scanlon or Devins as being so anti government. The problem being that with the numbers so tight neither of them want to cause and election where either one of them could lose out in.
And I think that sensible, factually based, campaigning in their constituency that highlights the lack of any positives should see that their wheeze of resigning the whip but acting as if still whipped won’t see any benefit arise for them. McDaid is all over the place, one minute he is the true soul of FF the next he is the harshest critic of the government.
The bigger real problem for the government is Lowry and Healy Rae, the closer it gets to 2012 the less likely that Jackie would hold or even be able to run himself. Going sooner before another candidate can be found to challenge him by Labour or A.N Other will suit him best especially if the budget is very harsh on small farmers and their families.
Hi. That’s a good article! Thanks for posting this.