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Who will take the last seat in Dublin?
Read more about: European Parliament, Exit Polls, Fianna Fail, Sinn Féin, Socialist Party 
Early predictions from most of the mainstream media outlets have McDonald as the favourite. There is nothing is solid from the exit polls however – while they are perceived to be more trustworthy in Dublin than elsewhere – they are far from concrete. They say it’ll come down to who goes out first between the three and their transfers, but sure the Irishelection readers may well know better… give us your analysis…
If the tallies are correct in putting McDonald at 15% and Higgins & Ryan at 11% I can’t see it going any other way.
DeBurca’s votes will go left, possibly with a slight female-friendly bias towards McDonald, Byrne will largely go to Ryan and will thus put Higgins next on the chopping block.
His votes will stay to the left and are largely going to benefit McDonald – Ryan will get SFA from him anyway – and that will be that.
Those are not the tallies Adam they are the exit-poll results.
Can people take a moment and start treating the exit poll (+/-3.5%) and the tallies (more accurate but only partial in terms of coverage in many places) with the real level of respect they deserve. They are an indication and nothing more than that. What we know in Dublin is that there are likely to be 3 people in the hunt for the last seat and it will be close on the 1st count and that it depends then on the transfers and given the nature of those who will be transferring it is now highly unlikely that Ryan can stay ahead of the combined MLM and Higgins vote.