Late night election thread: Election Fallout Begins as Greens get shaky and Euros leave Fine Gael on top

Late night election thread – dive in to the comments:
Early doors and we have some classic election fallout – Green party defeated council candidate Niall O Brolchain invites an offer from Fine Gael and Labour across the floor for a change of Government. Even if he isnt speaking out of line he is asking FG/Lab to talk to Sinn Fein about a deal before making an offer – Garret won’t be happy.

The Euro results put Fine Gael further into the stratosphere as they make them at this stage the only party to have a seat in each constituency. Labour took a further seat in East but the last seat in South is a long way from being determined. No one is willing to call it.

The tallys versus the exit polls appeared to produce wins for tallys in Dublin and a draw in the East while Exit poll in NW was only partially accurate – South did well though. Fergal has been crunching numbers with Eoinpurcell on the live blog:

Northwest Exits versus first count. Bad result for the pollsters here! I think the worst prediction across Euro constituencies. Heavily underestimated both Ganley & Harkin vote and overestimated Higgins!
FG EX: 29%, 1st: 23.8%, Diff: -5.2% (Outside Margin)
FF EX: 26%, 1st: 25.4%, Diff: -0.6% (Within Margin)
Labour EX: 8%, 1st: 5.8%, Diff: -2.2% (Within Margin)
SF EX: 9%, 1st: 9.2%, Diff: +.2% (Within Margin)
Libertas EX: 10%, 1st: 14%, Diff +4.0% (Outside Margin)
Ind EX: 18%, 1st: 21.6%, Diff +3.6% (Outside Margin)

Dublin Exits versus first count not too bad, but less accurate than south:
FGc EX: 21%, 1st: 23.8%, Diff: +2.8 %(Within Margin)
FF EX: 16%, 1st: 18.3%, Diff: +2.3 %(Within Margin)
Labour EX: 25, 1st: 20.5%, Diff: -4.5 %(Outside Margin)
SF EX: 15%, 1st: 15%, Diff: -3.2 %(Within Margin)
GP EX: 4%, 1st: 4.7%, Diff: +.7 %(Within Margin)
Libertas EX: 3%, 1st: 3.3%, Diff +.3 %(Within Margin)
Ind EX: 16%, 1st: 17.6%, Diff +1.6 %(Within Margin)
Note:
Ind included:
Ind Ex: 5 %1st: 5.2%, Diff +.2 %(Within Margin)
Higgins: 11 %1st: 12.4%, Diff +1.4 %(Within Ma|rgin

Folks, the exits were not as bad as is being said. Just looking @ exit results forSouth, they were nearly spot on all well within Margin for error. FG EX: 33%, 1st:29.4%, FF EX: 27 %1st: 27.1, Lab EX: 10%, 1st 12.9%, SF EX: 14%, 1st 13%, GP EX:4%, 1st: 3.1%, Ind EX: 13%, 1st: 14.6%. Seems pretty good prediction of first preferences to me!

East Exits versus first count.Good result for the pollsters here!
FG EX: 38%, 1st: 40.1%, Diff: +2.1 %(Within Margin)
FF EX: 23%, 1st: 24.6%, Diff: +1.6 %(Within Margin)
Labour EX: 20%, 1st: 18.3%, Diff: -1.7 %(Within Margin)
SF EX: 12%, 1st: 11.1%, Diff: -0.9 %(Within Margin)
Libertas EX: 3%, 1st: 4.3%, Diff +1.3 %(Within| Margin)
Ind EX: 4%, 1st: 1.6%, Diff -2.4 %(Within Margin)

All comments from Eoin Purcell – what do we think about the statement sent tonight? Higgins looks to be in, Ganley out without a miracle to help him and Fine Gael are the only party with a seat in all euro constituencies.

The Ahern name has its sheen taken off with Maurice losing both the by election and his council seat. Labour win in Dublin, FF at an all time low and Fine Gael the biggest party in local government.

South, East and North West suspended until tomorow.

Dublin ongoing

Seat count as of 22.45 812 seats filled:

FG 315, FF 194, Lab 125, Other 126, Sinn Fein 49, GP 3

And just in case you thought Irish politics was changin – Michael Stroke Fahy tops the poll in Loughrea. FFS.

Dive in to a late night election thread, for this is what this is.