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Irish debt downgraded by S&P

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Bloomberg is reporting that the negative ratings outlook of Standard and Poors for Irish government debt in January has been confirmed with a downgrade from AAA to AA+ (no link yet).  Apparently Spain already has that rating so it’s hardly the dunce’s cap.  Perhaps the timing was on a fixed schedule but it’s a little worrying that this is prior to the budget i.e. they don’t seem to have thought that even the best possible budget (from a bondholder’s perspective) could change their mind.  Thus a “bad” budget could trigger another downgrade — and so higher funding costs.  Hopefully the government has a baseline for the budget and is not chasing a moving forecast with just 9 days to go.

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3 Responses to “Irish debt downgraded by S&P”

  1. # Comment by Simon Mar 30th, 2009 17:03

    Who are these bond holders by the way? banks? insurance firms? pension funds? China?

  2. # Comment by Cian Mar 30th, 2009 18:03

    Link to bloomberg piece.

    One disturbing quote among many:
    “The deterioration of Ireland’s public finances will likely require a number of years of sustained effort to repair, on a scale greater than factored into the government’s current plans.”

    They also note that;
    The outlook on the ratings is negative, S&P said, adding that Ireland’s ratings could be lowered again “if the public finances weaken substantially further than what we currently assume.”

  3. # Comment by Donagh Mar 31st, 2009 16:03

    Michael Taft is already talking very sanely about this, but his link to Gerald Epstein’s article in Truthout is also worth a read to put things in a little perspective.

    Not so much ‘nothing to worry about’. More like ‘its important to put this in perspective’.

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