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	<title>Comments on: Soft Landings: Irish Property Style</title>
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	<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/</link>
	<description>Coverage of Irish Politics, News and Current Affairs</description>
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		<title>By: Cheap Credit Continues to Bite the Economy &#124; Irish Election</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53884</link>
		<dc:creator>Cheap Credit Continues to Bite the Economy &#124; Irish Election</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 05 Aug 2007 15:18:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53884</guid>
		<description>[...] credit had the knock on effect of generating a bubble in property prices as it became easier to leverage spending, the other areas of consumer spending were equally buoyed [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] credit had the knock on effect of generating a bubble in property prices as it became easier to leverage spending, the other areas of consumer spending were equally buoyed [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Conor McCabe</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53196</link>
		<dc:creator>Conor McCabe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 18:23:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53196</guid>
		<description>Planning permissions granted are here.

http://www.cso.ie/statistics/planperm1992to2006.htm

The figures for demand being the cause of price just don&#039;t add up. not by a long shot. The banks have screwed us, undermining the economy in the process. Now we have Brian Cowen calling for wage restraint in the public sector as demands may have an effect on the competitiveness! After giving the banks a free hand for ten years to push prices up as far as they could, now he wants to blame civil servants for inflation. what a cunt!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Planning permissions granted are here.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.cso.ie/statistics/planperm1992to2006.htm" rel="nofollow">http://www.cso.ie/statistics/planperm1992to2006.htm</a></p>
<p>The figures for demand being the cause of price just don&#8217;t add up. not by a long shot. The banks have screwed us, undermining the economy in the process. Now we have Brian Cowen calling for wage restraint in the public sector as demands may have an effect on the competitiveness! After giving the banks a free hand for ten years to push prices up as far as they could, now he wants to blame civil servants for inflation. what a cunt!</p>
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		<title>By: Dan Sullivan</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53195</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan Sullivan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 18:09:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53195</guid>
		<description>Conor, take a breather will ya? I don&#039;t carry the figures around in my arse pocket, I will source them and include them here when I get back in from my evening out. You can have a read of this from the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.clarechampion.ie/clch/www/index.asp?magpage=1&amp;issid=61&amp;issdate=Friday%2C+9+September+2005&amp;issarch=0&amp;topcatid=100&amp;catid=105&amp;id=8472&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Clare Champion&lt;/a&gt; while you&#039;re waiting.

Just for the record, I never suggested there were 200,000 empty standalone holidays home, nor that they were all one off houses. I was merely pointing out that not all dwellings were built in areas of demand for the purposes of sale. There are many multiple holiday home developments up and down the west coast, one planning application could mean 20 holiday homes.

And you don&#039;t actually include links yourself to the DOE figures. It is also worth remembering that not all planning permissions result in actually building happening.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Conor, take a breather will ya? I don&#8217;t carry the figures around in my arse pocket, I will source them and include them here when I get back in from my evening out. You can have a read of this from the <a href="http://www.clarechampion.ie/clch/www/index.asp?magpage=1&amp;issid=61&amp;issdate=Friday%2C+9+September+2005&amp;issarch=0&amp;topcatid=100&amp;catid=105&amp;id=8472" rel="nofollow">Clare Champion</a> while you&#8217;re waiting.</p>
<p>Just for the record, I never suggested there were 200,000 empty standalone holidays home, nor that they were all one off houses. I was merely pointing out that not all dwellings were built in areas of demand for the purposes of sale. There are many multiple holiday home developments up and down the west coast, one planning application could mean 20 holiday homes.</p>
<p>And you don&#8217;t actually include links yourself to the DOE figures. It is also worth remembering that not all planning permissions result in actually building happening.</p>
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		<title>By: Conor McCabe</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53188</link>
		<dc:creator>Conor McCabe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 16:50:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53188</guid>
		<description>In other words, where are you getting the &quot;around 20%&quot; figure from? i&#039;m getting the households and construction figures from the CSO - as in the hyperlinks. And I&#039;m getting the planning permission applications from the department of the environment. 

Can we just SEE THE FACTS PLEASE? Really.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In other words, where are you getting the &#8220;around 20%&#8221; figure from? i&#8217;m getting the households and construction figures from the CSO &#8211; as in the hyperlinks. And I&#8217;m getting the planning permission applications from the department of the environment. </p>
<p>Can we just SEE THE FACTS PLEASE? Really.</p>
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		<title>By: Conor McCabe</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53186</link>
		<dc:creator>Conor McCabe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 16:48:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53186</guid>
		<description>Also, the actual census enumerators came up with a figure of around 230,000 empty households across the country. Remember, these guy and gals were the ones ACTUALLY KNOCKING ON DOORS, and not just sitting around reading what the sunday papers have dreamt up. nowhere did the census enumerators say that they had knocked on 230,000 empty holiday homes.

I&#039;m sorry, Dan, but it&#039;s a fucking ridiculous argument. you&#039;ve got to give me figures.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Also, the actual census enumerators came up with a figure of around 230,000 empty households across the country. Remember, these guy and gals were the ones ACTUALLY KNOCKING ON DOORS, and not just sitting around reading what the sunday papers have dreamt up. nowhere did the census enumerators say that they had knocked on 230,000 empty holiday homes.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m sorry, Dan, but it&#8217;s a fucking ridiculous argument. you&#8217;ve got to give me figures.</p>
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		<title>By: Conor McCabe</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53185</link>
		<dc:creator>Conor McCabe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 16:45:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53185</guid>
		<description>he idea that there are over 200,000 empty holiday homes in Ireland is nuts. Just simply nuts.

Planning permission is needed for each and every one of those standalone holiday homes in Ireland. In 2006, 22,774 planning permission applications were approved for 93,419 dwellings. In 2005, 25,334 were received and approved for 80,957 dwellings. In order for holiday homes to be the cause of the surplus, each and every one of these planning permissions must have been for a holiday home - in other words, every single piece of household construction approved under planning permission must have been a holiday home in order for the figures to have an impact on the surplus. Every single household built in Ireland must have been a holiday home!

And that is a nuts argument.

There is a shortage of houses that people can afford to buy in Dublin - that’s why there’s been a slowdown in the mortgage market.

From the Daft.ie annual report:
“The core issue here is affordability. Basic estimates suggest that the median per capita disposable income in the country today stands at around €31,300 per annum. Factoring in the savings rates and using a 4.5:1 ratio of disposable income to loan value, a median household entering the market today can afford a mortgage of between €380,000 and €400,000. The stamp duty, legal fees and costs of moving the household and upgrading properties cut roughly 15 percent from the affordability threshold.
This is a far cry from the latest asking prices – according to Daft’s statistics, the average family dwelling in Dublin city ranges from €485,000 to €518,000 for a three bed and from €671,000 to €734,000 for a four bed property.”
The slowdown in the market happened when asking prices in Dublin broke the €400,000 mark - and not because of bloody stamp duty or little surplus.
Quite simply, demand for houses at over €400,000 is what has dropped off. So. What you’re seeing now is houses empty for six months or more as sellers can’t find buyers for their prices.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>he idea that there are over 200,000 empty holiday homes in Ireland is nuts. Just simply nuts.</p>
<p>Planning permission is needed for each and every one of those standalone holiday homes in Ireland. In 2006, 22,774 planning permission applications were approved for 93,419 dwellings. In 2005, 25,334 were received and approved for 80,957 dwellings. In order for holiday homes to be the cause of the surplus, each and every one of these planning permissions must have been for a holiday home &#8211; in other words, every single piece of household construction approved under planning permission must have been a holiday home in order for the figures to have an impact on the surplus. Every single household built in Ireland must have been a holiday home!</p>
<p>And that is a nuts argument.</p>
<p>There is a shortage of houses that people can afford to buy in Dublin &#8211; that’s why there’s been a slowdown in the mortgage market.</p>
<p>From the Daft.ie annual report:<br />
“The core issue here is affordability. Basic estimates suggest that the median per capita disposable income in the country today stands at around €31,300 per annum. Factoring in the savings rates and using a 4.5:1 ratio of disposable income to loan value, a median household entering the market today can afford a mortgage of between €380,000 and €400,000. The stamp duty, legal fees and costs of moving the household and upgrading properties cut roughly 15 percent from the affordability threshold.<br />
This is a far cry from the latest asking prices – according to Daft’s statistics, the average family dwelling in Dublin city ranges from €485,000 to €518,000 for a three bed and from €671,000 to €734,000 for a four bed property.”<br />
The slowdown in the market happened when asking prices in Dublin broke the €400,000 mark &#8211; and not because of bloody stamp duty or little surplus.<br />
Quite simply, demand for houses at over €400,000 is what has dropped off. So. What you’re seeing now is houses empty for six months or more as sellers can’t find buyers for their prices.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan Sullivan</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53184</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan Sullivan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 16:41:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53184</guid>
		<description>Conor, I would point out that a significant amount of the house build was holiday/2nd homes down the country. The figure fluctuates aroud the 20% mark and also the amount of one houses which are self builds, as in you arrange the finance and then get a builder in to build the house you want. My understanding is that less than 50% of houses are in the real supply and demand situation and it is that area there the unsatisfied demand was and it is that which propelled the growth. If you live and work on the north side of Dublin for example, your chances of getting planning permission yourself anywhere in a 30 mile radius were incredibly limited if not fantastically unlikely. So you were into the situation whereby you were bying a ready built house and that is where the demand far outstripped the supply. 

I suppose what I&#039;m saying is there isn&#039;t just one housing market. There are lots of separate markets after all a house in Monaghan isn&#039;t much good to you if you work in Wexford.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Conor, I would point out that a significant amount of the house build was holiday/2nd homes down the country. The figure fluctuates aroud the 20% mark and also the amount of one houses which are self builds, as in you arrange the finance and then get a builder in to build the house you want. My understanding is that less than 50% of houses are in the real supply and demand situation and it is that area there the unsatisfied demand was and it is that which propelled the growth. If you live and work on the north side of Dublin for example, your chances of getting planning permission yourself anywhere in a 30 mile radius were incredibly limited if not fantastically unlikely. So you were into the situation whereby you were bying a ready built house and that is where the demand far outstripped the supply. </p>
<p>I suppose what I&#8217;m saying is there isn&#8217;t just one housing market. There are lots of separate markets after all a house in Monaghan isn&#8217;t much good to you if you work in Wexford.</p>
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		<title>By: Conor McCabe</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53183</link>
		<dc:creator>Conor McCabe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 16:09:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53183</guid>
		<description>When you think that we&#039;ve actually been in a buyer&#039;s market for the past ten years, and yet vested interests were allowed run riot and basically con hundreds of thousands of people into thinking there was a fucking SHORTAGE,it&#039;s enough to want to make you scream.

These figures just blow away whatever tattered shreds of credibility that the PDs had to their claim that - whatever else - at least they were a free market party. Nothing, and I mean NOTHING, could be further from the truth. What cunts. Protecting land speculators and fucking banks.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When you think that we&#8217;ve actually been in a buyer&#8217;s market for the past ten years, and yet vested interests were allowed run riot and basically con hundreds of thousands of people into thinking there was a fucking SHORTAGE,it&#8217;s enough to want to make you scream.</p>
<p>These figures just blow away whatever tattered shreds of credibility that the PDs had to their claim that &#8211; whatever else &#8211; at least they were a free market party. Nothing, and I mean NOTHING, could be further from the truth. What cunts. Protecting land speculators and fucking banks.</p>
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		<title>By: Donagh</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53182</link>
		<dc:creator>Donagh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 16:02:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53182</guid>
		<description>I was talking to someone today about mortgages and how the bank potentially has you by the balls right up into your 70s, if you&#039;re unfortuntate enough to only get a mortgage in your 30s, which is a lot of people&#039;s situation. Basically, they have you right up until your life is expected to expire. The person I was talking to said he guessed that&#039;s why they called it mortgage, which is a term that comes from French law and means &#039;Dead Pledge&#039;. 

If one more estate agent type appears on RTfuckingE television telling me that we&#039;re currently in a buyers market I might have to do something stupid with a carving knife, like cutting the power cable on my TV.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was talking to someone today about mortgages and how the bank potentially has you by the balls right up into your 70s, if you&#8217;re unfortuntate enough to only get a mortgage in your 30s, which is a lot of people&#8217;s situation. Basically, they have you right up until your life is expected to expire. The person I was talking to said he guessed that&#8217;s why they called it mortgage, which is a term that comes from French law and means &#8216;Dead Pledge&#8217;. </p>
<p>If one more estate agent type appears on RTfuckingE television telling me that we&#8217;re currently in a buyers market I might have to do something stupid with a carving knife, like cutting the power cable on my TV.</p>
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		<title>By: Conor McCabe</title>
		<link>http://www.irishelection.com/2007/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/comment-page-1/#comment-53179</link>
		<dc:creator>Conor McCabe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jul 2007 14:43:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irishelection.com/07/soft-landings-irish-property-style/#comment-53179</guid>
		<description>Well, I&#039;ve got a feeling that if people were told that the ONLY reason why mortgages are so expensive is because the banks are fucking screwing you, they just might hold back on taking one out.

thing is, the media, the PDs, Fianna Fáil, etc, all told us that it was supply and demand that was causing the rise in property prices. 

The census figures show that that is a fucking lie.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, I&#8217;ve got a feeling that if people were told that the ONLY reason why mortgages are so expensive is because the banks are fucking screwing you, they just might hold back on taking one out.</p>
<p>thing is, the media, the PDs, Fianna Fáil, etc, all told us that it was supply and demand that was causing the rise in property prices. </p>
<p>The census figures show that that is a fucking lie.</p>
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