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Read more about: Election Results, Irish Election, Irish Politics, Polls 
Rumoured results thanks to Brian Boru in comments
Rumoured poll (TNS-MRBI) tomorrow:
FF 41% (+5)
FG 27%(-1)
Labour 10% (-3)
SF 9% (-1)
Greens 6% (+1)
PDs 2% (unchanged)
FF-PD: 43%
FG-Lab-Greens: 43%
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That’s a huge FF bounce if true – very bad news for FG/Labour (especially the latter).
Would this have been before or after the debate? After I assume.
Whata result!!! Bring on Thursday!!!
Confirmed, it was on RTE news
Isn’t this a ‘national poll’ rather than one based on electoral constituencies? Five points adrift of the other polls?? wazzup?
This is the only poll taking in the leader’s debate, so the large difference could be accounted for by that quite easily.
RedC’s results were taken before the debate and after – Pat Leahy commented that there was no significant differences between those surveyed before and after the poll. The difference could be due to methods – phones versus ballots.
The poll results show that it will be down to who can get their vote out and what the weather / traffic / local conditions are like on Thursday as this puts things neck to neck for the last days so expect to see furious canvassing as everyone will be giving it their absolute best.
Expecting a great deal of 19:30-22:30 party ferrying to the polling stations on Thursday. Get the vote out, Irish style.
If the poll reflects Bertie’s victory in the debate why did Labour suffer most in the poll? Did the women who were polled react badly to Pat’s Paris Hilton jibe the previous night?
FG vote has held up so the FF bounce not entirely due to debate with Enda.
Or it could be that FF were on 38% all along and the previous polls have all underestimated it and this one overestimates it.
now that is a shock. Always thought Bertie trashed them in the debate with trevor winning the other debate and McDowell holding his own with Rabbitte and adams doing poorly. Which going by the poll means i was right.
Victory dance. Da da da da da
Seriously strange poll
Dan, you could be right. But it appears as if FF themselves believed they were down to 35%-36% and it is likely their own internal polls would have been confirming that.
Rabitte was measured and clear, Trevor was excellent, Adams was shown up for the empty vessel he is and McD just attacked everyone else without saying what the PD’s stand for. The PD’s are a protest party at this stage, which is a shame.
It is a very odd poll result. As other comments have stated, it is difficult to see how the ‘bump’ for FF can be explained by the non-Debate. FG’s fall is margin-of-error slight and can be discounted, Enda’s increase in satisfaction similarly so – so no change, reflecting the punditry afterwards.
Labour’s fall could be explained by their refusal to adequately rule out coalition with FF, except for the massive 5% increase shown by FF. Numbers of un-commited’s hasn’t changed at all, so talk of undecided’s flocking to FF is hogwash.
Odd.
FIANNA FAIL TO GET THAT ELUSIVE OVERALL MAJORITY.
CLEARLY THE ONLY ONE THAT CAN SAVE US NOW IS MICHAEL MCDOWELL AND HIS PROGRESSIVE DEMOCRATS
Looks like TNS MRBI and the Irish Times got it right with their polls again. We all thought it was a rouge one – but it turned out to be the most accurate one of all. Fair play to them.