Comments on: Government Formation http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/government-formation/ Coverage of Irish Politics, News and Current Affairs Thu, 09 Feb 2012 09:23:31 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.5 By: Simon http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/government-formation/comment-page-1/#comment-51035 Simon Sat, 26 May 2007 09:43:48 +0000 http://www.irishelection.com/05/government-formation/#comment-51035 more sense for them to go for 2 ministries more sense for them to go for 2 ministries

]]> By: Cavan_Exile http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/government-formation/comment-page-1/#comment-51016 Cavan_Exile Sat, 26 May 2007 07:34:37 +0000 http://www.irishelection.com/05/government-formation/#comment-51016 On the French election the squeeze on small party candidates was more due to the experience of the previous election where people thought they could place a conmscience vote in Round 1 and got Le Pen in Round 2. The odd system in France forced them to be careful in Round 1. I'm not sure there are global Left-Right swings. I think incumbency and faitgue are more important (admittedly not this time!) On the French election the squeeze on small party candidates was more due to the experience of the previous election where people thought they could place a conmscience vote in Round 1 and got Le Pen in Round 2. The odd system in France forced them to be careful in Round 1.

I’m not sure there are global Left-Right swings. I think incumbency and faitgue are more important (admittedly not this time!)

]]> By: The Labour Party and the 2007 General Election How things stand on Saturday morning « http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/government-formation/comment-page-1/#comment-51009 The Labour Party and the 2007 General Election How things stand on Saturday morning « Sat, 26 May 2007 03:28:55 +0000 http://www.irishelection.com/05/government-formation/#comment-51009 [...] is suggesting on irishelection that there are rumours flying that FF have already started talking with the [...] [...] is suggesting on irishelection that there are rumours flying that FF have already started talking with the [...]

]]> By: P O'Neill http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/government-formation/comment-page-1/#comment-50996 P O'Neill Sat, 26 May 2007 02:31:57 +0000 http://www.irishelection.com/05/government-formation/#comment-50996 I don't know if it's possible to speak of a European mood but look at the French results a few weeks ago -- an overall move to the right, and a major squeeze on the smaller parties. In the first round of the presidential in France, the 3 mainstream candidates got around 75 percent of the vote, a huge increase from 2002 and a big squeeze on the "fringes." And in the 2nd round, the right came out stronger. It contains both elements of what happened yesterday. Government without FF? Hard to see without a dramatic change in the dynamic of Irish voting patterns and it's going to take some big external shock to force that. I think at this point Bertie could shut down Mahon and no one would bat an eyelid. I don’t know if it’s possible to speak of a European mood but look at the French results a few weeks ago — an overall move to the right, and a major squeeze on the smaller parties. In the first round of the presidential in France, the 3 mainstream candidates got around 75 percent of the vote, a huge increase from 2002 and a big squeeze on the “fringes.” And in the 2nd round, the right came out stronger. It contains both elements of what happened yesterday.

Government without FF? Hard to see without a dramatic change in the dynamic of Irish voting patterns and it’s going to take some big external shock to force that. I think at this point Bertie could shut down Mahon and no one would bat an eyelid.

]]> By: Delphinian http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/government-formation/comment-page-1/#comment-50987 Delphinian Sat, 26 May 2007 02:12:41 +0000 http://www.irishelection.com/05/government-formation/#comment-50987 In a way makes sense. Major backlash against media and PD's in this election. As I stated before change of government wanted but change of FF partner. Green safer option than Labour. Less seats, less ministries, smaller party. No experience of government and they want it. If they pulled out at any stage, FF could survive, but with Labour couldn't. Major swing from left parties tonight, anyone know why? (bar not having any realistic economic policies). It was the economy. Probably always will be. Anyone see government in our time without FF? In a way makes sense. Major backlash against media and PD’s in this election. As I stated before change of government wanted but change of FF partner. Green safer option than Labour. Less seats, less ministries, smaller party. No experience of government and they want it. If they pulled out at any stage, FF could survive, but with Labour couldn’t. Major swing from left parties tonight, anyone know why? (bar not having any realistic economic policies). It was the economy. Probably always will be. Anyone see government in our time without FF?

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