Comments on: Day 22 Webroundup, turning to the Final Lap http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/day-22-webroundup-turning-to-the-final-lap/ Coverage of Irish Politics, News and Current Affairs Thu, 09 Feb 2012 19:43:54 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.5 By: P O'Neill http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/day-22-webroundup-turning-to-the-final-lap/comment-page-1/#comment-50240 P O'Neill Mon, 21 May 2007 01:10:20 +0000 http://www.irishelection.com/05/day-22-webroundup-turning-to-the-final-lap/#comment-50240 It would be nice if MRBI explained their methodology. The only description is this, from the Irish Times story <em>The poll was conducted last Friday and Saturday among a representative sample of 1,000 voters in face-to-face interviews at 100 sampling points in all 43 constituencies.</em> I'm not sure why they're not doing a phone poll. Face-to-face is not random. I'm also not sure why they're sampling in all 43 constituencies. They're presenting this as a national poll so it should be representative of the population, not of the constituency map. Maybe they make adjustments for all these factors but it's hard to tell when the focus is on the headline numbers. It would be nice if MRBI explained their methodology. The only description is this, from the Irish Times story

The poll was conducted last Friday and Saturday among a representative sample of 1,000 voters in face-to-face interviews at 100 sampling points in all 43 constituencies.

I’m not sure why they’re not doing a phone poll. Face-to-face is not random. I’m also not sure why they’re sampling in all 43 constituencies. They’re presenting this as a national poll so it should be representative of the population, not of the constituency map. Maybe they make adjustments for all these factors but it’s hard to tell when the focus is on the headline numbers.

]]> By: Cian http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/day-22-webroundup-turning-to-the-final-lap/comment-page-1/#comment-50231 Cian Sun, 20 May 2007 23:06:17 +0000 http://www.irishelection.com/05/day-22-webroundup-turning-to-the-final-lap/#comment-50231 it beats getting out among people and asking them how they will vote. Possibly a function of the STV too. it beats getting out among people and asking them how they will vote. Possibly a function of the STV too.

]]> By: P O'Neill http://www.irishelection.com/2007/05/day-22-webroundup-turning-to-the-final-lap/comment-page-1/#comment-50230 P O'Neill Sun, 20 May 2007 23:04:40 +0000 http://www.irishelection.com/05/day-22-webroundup-turning-to-the-final-lap/#comment-50230 It's a little odd to see Hennessy complain about the journalists feel used by FF in 2002 -- and then indicate that the big news of the today is an apparent FF surge in the polls. There's a circularity to the analysis of the polls, where the media observe a livelier FF campaign and then use that to explain the poll findings, and the mood of the FF campaign is then explained in terms of the surge in the polls, so they run a livelier campaign ... It’s a little odd to see Hennessy complain about the journalists feel used by FF in 2002 — and then indicate that the big news of the today is an apparent FF surge in the polls. There’s a circularity to the analysis of the polls, where the media observe a livelier FF campaign and then use that to explain the poll findings, and the mood of the FF campaign is then explained in terms of the surge in the polls, so they run a livelier campaign …

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