Roscommon/South Leitrim Fianna Fail to Pip Fine Gael to Third Seat – Poll
The Examiner carries news of another RedC local poll. This time in Roscommon/South Leitrim has very interesting news for trends and seats. First to trends, Fine Gael is suggested to have a larger first preference vote than Fianna Fail in the constituency 41% to 37%. This chimes with local polls elsewhere which suggest possible downturns for the FF vote in light of increasing voter ‘disillusionment’ or lack of confidence.
The seats though may turn up in Fianna Fail’s favour. They have a more even split of the vote at present and may make it easier for the two candidates to get over the line. There is little doubt FF are great vote managers but there are some tight numbers and a lot of candidates (like SF’s Martin Kelly and independent Gerry Kelly) who would have a say on where the third seat will go.
However, the poll suggests that with 14% support, Mr Feighan may struggle in subsequent counts, and much will depend on the ability of the North Roscommon politician to attract votes from across the border in Leitrim.
The two FF candidates are within a percentage point of each other, with Mr Finneran at 19% and Leitrim-based John Ellis at 18%.