The Good Society
Read more about: Coalition, Fianna Fail, Fine Gael, Foreign Affairs, Green Party, Labour Party, Polls, Proverty, Taxation
I finally get a spare twenty minutes to do a post and it’s way too late to comment on the government’s recent flip in the polls. Well tough, I’m going to do it anyway. It’s hardly a new idea but I am willing to wager that at least some of the recent good numbers for the government lie in the public response to leadership.
I’m not one to go praising Bertie Ahern all the time but it seems that, in retrospect, he played the opposition like fiddles. The opposition leadership never knew which way to pull on the whole saga because their focus groups wouldn’t come to a conclusion.
So they faffed about on the fringes of the issue, sending in party members to do battle—most notably Richard Bruton—and trying to land punches on the government via the Progressive Democrats. The PDs need no help in appearing to the electorate as having some cake and eating it too, and the work by Fine Gael and Labour seems to have been wasted on negotiating a safe path through an issue which the public became increasingly sick of.
Not that the Taoiseach was correct in what he did, the public seemed to take the position “it was wrong, not a hanging offence, now can we please return to the issue of government?” Fortunately for the Taoiseach, this was precisely his position (eventually, after much groping for other positions). He benefitted from this in a perverse fashion because, in some way, he managed to lead popular opinion with him. Simple politics, Cian.
Not quite, for our politics is so often not about leadership at all but about the form of consensus-focus group following nonsense that delivers three parties on almost identical platforms.
I think that the opposition are (coming across as? or simply are?) weak leaders. Enda Kenny, it is well known, is not the greatest leader and for some reason the tactic has been to turn him into our very own posturing Texan Republican on billboards. That image is so 99/00. Pat Rabbitte, to his credit, can speak. The problem I have is, when he does, he can turn away as many as he persuades.
The public is being faced with a party system now focusing on the head men; presidential fights are what the media want and the forthcoming tripartite head to head between Bertie and Enda/Pat, with the side-show of Trevor-v-Michael-v-Sinn Fein, looks like it could deliver a blow to the opposition unless they show genuine leadership on issues. At present hedging their bets is beginning to backfire.
Here we hit a paradox for Labour: they must assert an identity, something which can be observed through the blue haze of the Fine Gael embrace but in the call for strong leadership they may have to take the Labour-Gael option and dilute positions before an election.
On the idea of leadership, here is some stuff the opposition coalition might like to consider: The Good Society, a work by Compass in the UK. It is a British publication focused at the work of renewal of the Labour government in office, but it is a valuable tool for policy ideas here.
I won’t bore you with mass clippings, this initial opener suffices: “Empowered as consumers we have become disempowered as citizens.” The Irish society is a new beast, we survived the eighties via social partnership and a bounce in FDI, but at this juncture in the economic cycle the winds may be changing. Our polity is a new beast, it is changing. What 2007 may need more than anything else is a diversity of ideas. The Greens have done very well by confronting the polity with the need for action on climate change and the support of that agenda through various policies. As the science continues to back their position, it seems likely the electorate will follow if candidates of calibre are fielded.
So what can be distinctive about Fine Gael and Labour? Not a lot unless they begin to critically engage with the forthcoming problems of our society—climate change, a Celtic Tiger running on fumes, serious issues in housing provision, employment generation if the construction industry contracts, dysfunctional communities around the country—and develop a discussion with the people about bringing change about.
Do we have to go all “big-state” on the policies? Frankly, I don’t know, but I wouldn’t mind having a few politicians who were willing to cast aside any presuppositions and flesh out the positions on a progressive direction for society and our economy.
If we want more of the same, the electorate will entrust that job to Fianna Fail. If the opposition want power, they need to be more than just more of the same and offer a directional change, something which, on paper, looks very hard to do.
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Cian, the short term objective for FG is return to government and the medium term is the elimination of the PDs. I think the latter got more of a boost during Bertiegate than most will admit. And let’s remember it was the meeja that drove the story on.
As for calling for directional change, it sounds more like a desire for difference for the sake of it rather than a desire for an actual difference that you want to articulate. Admit it, you’d rather change the electorate that make the effort of trying to change their minds about something.
I think FG and Lab should be taking a close look at what David Cameron is doing. One mistake perhaps in the Bertie nixers affair was to appear to be going in for the kill right away. The Cameron strategy by contrast has been to peck around the edges on Blair’s weak points (e.g. his preferred successor) while freely redefining key party policies around emerging themes rather than in direct opposition to what the government is doing (e.g. on green policies, taxes etc). Of course he has the luxury of 3 years to an election which FG/Lab don’t but the public seems not be reacting well to traditional oppositional politics at the moment.
“It was wrong, not a hanging offence, now can we please return to the issue of government?”
What do “the party of coruption” have to do for it to become a hanging offence as a now very confused voter I do not understand why the PDs are still relevant in Irish politics as they continue to fail in their self proclaimed role as the watchdog of their more senior partners in Government. Perhaps it is time to allow the Fianna Fail Party to rule as a single party Government and see what happens.
Let coruption reign, it seems to anyway.
cian your last sentence is key
I’d like to see that enlarged
up in headlights
on posters
on bill boards
thats how lots of us feel
GOOD GOD I HOPE IT HAPPENS
Dan, ill be honest, i worry more for labour than for fine gael in all of this. Their strategy will end up increasing seats as it seems impossible for the maths to beat them again. No im not unwilling to argue with them dan, but to be fair i have only started. Im doing the reading so that in the next few months i can put flesh on the bones.
I dont want change for the sake of it, i want a government willing to discuss at election time what hte ideas which govern the next five years will be. As i outlined, five years when property will deflate, celtic tiger will begin to need renewal, social infrasturcture will become unusable. I dont really want to change the electorate, in a democracy they are sovereign, yet having my own ideas about what i want from politics means im allowed to ask which party represents me.
It was the media that drove the story and that story found a bunch of blind leaders being led by the blindest. Even if i did vote on personality alone im still not sure which is better.
P, Cameron has the talent to present himself that amost all our politicians lack. he gets away with what he is at on the back of it, their current approach isnt paying dividends though.
LL, I agree, but at the end of the day the party of corruption played the story like pros (because they are). the story was there and in response to leadership which was a bit wishy washy the public stuck with bertie.
at core i think that the opposition is still at the same old game, setting up a new tent in the same field and offering a better option because the tent is new. And for all my not arguing with the electorate, the opposition are not doing it either.
Cian, you don’t get votes arguing with the electorate. If even people come to believe you are right, they will vote for someone else out of spite. The electorate can be challenged and persuaded but they do not respond to lectures.
that is kind of the point i was making dan, asking for the opposition to take alternative ideas and challenge?