Fianna F**ked, Thoughts on the Poll.

So poll numbers are down. Fianna Fail at 25% in the Irish Times poll.

I am sure there is plenty of commentary about all this already among people. There is a generally held belief that the young are the most likely to be left wing in a society and most likely to be on the Internet. So it would seem to suggest that if Internet politics aka like Obama could take off in Ireland Labour would have most to gain. Yet from the poll numbers people in the 18 to 24-year-olds are the second most supportive of Fianna Fail after pensioners and the least supportive of Labour. The most dissatisfied are the 35-49 years olds which as they are not effected by the medical cards I guess comes from the increased taxation and possibly the cuts in primary education.

And another result for Labour which really should not be surprising but probably will surprise many is that

In class terms, Labour’s highest score comes from the best well-off AB voters where it gets a 14 per cent share. The party attracts 11 per cent among C1 voters, 10 per cent from the C2 category and 9 per cent among the least well-off DE category. It is well behind Fianna Fáil among the less well-off voters.

However this is not totally bad news for Labour

The opposite is the case for Sinn Féin, which is strongest among the 18 to 24-year-olds with 14 per cent, dropping to 3 per cent among the over-65s. In regional terms the party is strongest in Dublin on 9 per cent, with a relatively even spread of 5 per cent to 6 per cent across the rest of the country. In class terms it is weakest among the AB voters and strongest in the DE category. As in previous polls the party is more attractive to men than women.

WIth Sinn Fein being strong in these area’s shows that there is votes out there to be got by Labour in the categories they assume they have but don’t (young and poor). They just need to go get them away from Sinn Fein. How they do that is difficult to know.

As for Fianna Fail. I think my headline says it all. They badly need 4 more years in government to go back up the polls.

As for Fine Gael and Enda Kenny

Fine Gael leader Enda Kenny does better than Mr Cowen for the first time but he is still in negative territory, with 46 per cent dissatisfied compared to 33 per cent who are satisfied with his performance.

If this was Richard Bruton I doubt it would be below 50%, Gilmore on 38 is also not exactly brilliant. It might look good for the opposition but really not good enough.