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The 5:40 Club

Read more about: Economy, Labour Party, Uncategorized

Man, it’s hard just to live. Bank of Ireland Private Banking has just produced its second ‘Wealth of the Nation’ report, which is a strange title because really it’s about the wealth of a tiny fraction of the nation. According to the report – the top 1% holds 20% of all the wealth of the nation. When residential property is excluded, just 1% holds an astonishing 34% of wealth. Leave aside for the moment all those debates over the deciles distribution of disposable income. This is about power – real financial power; and the few people who wield it.

Describing this as the ‘golden age of wealth accumulation’, the Report gives an overview of total household assets.

70% of all wealth is made up of residential property, with deposits and pension funds making up the next largest group of assets. Of this total, the top 1% owns 20%; the top 2% owns 30% while the top 5% owns 40% of all wealth.

The Report states the Irish people are the second wealthiest per capita in the world – behind Japan but ahead of the USA, not to mention every other country in the world. That’s one way of looking at it, but not a very in-depth way. Looking at national figures can hide the actual distribution of that wealth among people.

Individuals in the top 1%, on average, own €3.9 million each. On the other hand, individuals in the bottom 95% own, on average 32 times less, or €124,000.

When considering financial wealth excluding residential property, the report provides an even starker perspective on inequality. There is a total of €294 billion in financial wealth. The top 1% is estimated to own 34% of that, or about €100 billion.

Individuals in the top 1% own on average €2.4 million. Everyone else, on average, owns €47,000 – or about 51 times less. It would have been interesting to get the Report’s estimate of how much the top 5% owned. This would have, no doubt, shown that the bottom 95% owned much less than €47,000 each.

It is worth noting that for most people, their main assets are their homes and, secondly, pension savings. Both of these, for most people, are not readily accessible. Though some may use their home to release equity they do so at a price – increased debt. The fact is that most people don’t treat their home as a capital asset but rather as an item of use. As for pensions, this is not normally accessible until retirement. So for the vast majority of people their main assets are not something they can easily cash in on.

What is a realistic response to this gross inequality? We should be wary of ‘soak-the-rich’ rhetoric, for it suggests that all the social demands of the Left can be sustainably paid for by a handful of people without any economic blow-back. However, we can still give these folk a fair ol’ splash.

But a deeper problem remains. Following the dismal general election result the Left is being seduced by a misguided discourse based on a reactive analysis. Namely, that the Left is somehow ‘uncomfortable’ with wealth creation and that it is out of step with the ‘entrepreneurial’ age. In this discourse, ‘egalitarianism’ and ‘super-rich’ and ‘redistribution through the taxation and regulation’ seem as out of place as, well, trade unions.

Maybe there’s something in this. But it’s incumbent upon those who put forward such a thesis to move beyond assertion and provide a hard analysis that can be tested and debated. The fact is the Left can do better than such lazy shorthand (of which, arguments for changing Labour’s name are a prime example).

First, the implications for democracy are profound. Any market analyst will tell you that 40% ownership is in most cases enough to give you controlling interest in a company – especially in companies with wide share dispersal (Ryanair’s attempted buy-out of Aer Lingus was atypical). So if the top 5% own 40% of wealth, they pretty much have controlling interest in Ireland plc.

Second, new studies are beginning to discover that, in economically mature countries, high concentration of wealth is negatively related to economic growth.

Third, it is clear that ‘the new middle class’ or ‘working class households with middle class aspirations’ or just plain ol’ middle class (can’t we please just say ‘the vast majority of people who have a job and whose main source of income derives from that job’) are closer to each other in terms of wealth, and closer to those in the extremely low-income groups, than they ever will be to those few who own controlling interests in the economy.

So here’s a thought. The Left should launch an ‘Are You a Member of the 5:40 Club?’ This campaign could do three things:

* Explain the deep, anti-democratic, anti-growth, anti-social inequality that exists today.
* Put forward ‘splash the controlling interests’ proposals
* Argue that the revenue obtained from this ‘splash-around’ be ring-fenced for investment in indigenous manufacturing and service enterprise – start-ups, expansion and, crucially, development of exports – all under the rubric of real social and democratic partnership.

Each of these elements are worthy of articles in their own right. But generally such a campaign would immediately ground the Left in issues it could eventually own – inequality; a redistributionist programme; and a commitment to real enterprise and partnership development. It’s egalitarian, it’s entrepreneurial and it can speak to the vast majority who work or want to work for a living. And we might find unexpected allies – the Irish Independent ran a front page story that old fashioned lefties could not have written any better, while Marc Coleman taunted the Left for not having a strong inheritance tax programme.

Such a campaign – with leaflets and posters and pickets and news conferences and seminars and heckling in the Dail – would not get the Left much liked among the controlling interests and their allies, but it would certainly help in creating an identifiable and relevant ‘brand-image’. So by way of kick-starting all this – I’ll make a contribution of a couple of hundred campaign badges:

How about: ‘The 5:40 Club? It’s obscene.’

6 Responses to “The 5:40 Club”

  1. # Comment by Simon Aug 6th, 2007 17:08

    I think leaving out residential property is a major hole in your anaysis. We in Ireland have the second highest home ownership in Europe up to 80% it is by far and away most people’s preferred investment. People will talk about second homes, foreign homes etc far more then they would talk about shares in Ryanair.

    Where as people in the rest of Europe would be more comfortable putting their investment else where and investing the money in shares or what ever. Therefore I think you can not ignore housing. If you take the residential property figure and included it. We have more or less OECD average inequality.

    Indeed according to this Combat Poverty presentation income inequality has not changed much during the boom.
    http://combatpoverty.ie/research/seminars/presentations/2006-03-14_BrianNolan.pdf

  2. # Comment by Michael Taft Aug 6th, 2007 18:08

    Well, Simon, I didn’t leave out residential property. In fact, the title of the blog refers to the 5% who own 40% of all wealth - residential property included. I again referred to the per capita breakdown regarding all wealth. I did, as well, refer to an even higher concentration of wealth in financial assets (1% owns 34% of financial wealth). The report states that Irish wealth inequality is on a par with the UK but higher than in Europe. However, we have to treat wealth concentration comparisons very carefully as there is a question of data collection and methodology. The reason why should look at both sets of wealth data - including and excluding residnetial property - is that, as you say, we have a higher home ownership percentage. But then a lot of people don’t use their home as a tradeable capital asset, as they might stocks, shares, bonds, hedgefunds, etc. The point you make about income inequality is correct - combine that with even higher wealth inequality (whether inclusive or residential property or not), and there is a political issue there somewhere.

  3. # Comment by Simon Aug 6th, 2007 18:08

    Fair enough I read it and replied a few minutes afterwards. But on the point of tradeability of home ownership one has to remember that people choose to tie their money up that way as opposed to people who chose to invest it in more tradeable things more so in the rest of Europe. Hence why I would say the precentages in financial wealth differ as much as they do.

    Also thoughts of inequality probably differ somewhat. I am sure many people in France see 40% home ownership as a symbol of inequality and look at 80% home ownership (with a fairly large under 20s population who are not at house buying stage) as being a good.

    Anyway there is a political issue in everything. :)

  4. # Comment by Simon Aug 6th, 2007 18:08

    another quick thought. I think if you really want an issue for the left. It would be social mobility. inequality as an issue relies on a bit of the green eyed monster. For some people like yourself it is about fairness. But to a lot of people it is about having the same as Johnny (and indeed sod Mary if needed). I think it could be a difficult thing to sell to Irish people who seem quite at home with capitalism. And don’t naturally have a desire to take money off the likes of Michael O’Leary who I think most people respect (if not also think he is a tool at the same time).

    However the fundamental thing about capitalism is the belief that talent gets you every where. Which is blatantly not the case in places like America. We are pretty good in Ireland at the moment for social mobility compared to most countries but can always be better. It is easier I think to sell supporting the roots of capitalism, then attacking it if you get me

    Solving inequality people see it as taking hard earned money. Fighting social mobility is seen as giving people a shot. That is an easier sell I think.

    I’d be on the right (certainly the most right I would say on this site) and I would support it. :)

  5. # Comment by Michael Taft Aug 6th, 2007 20:08

    That’s a good point, Simon. Inequality and social mobility are intertwined. Will have to look up some stuff on that. As to the belief that ‘talent gets you everywhere’ - I would have thought that social democracy should have a good claim on that, too.

  6. # Comment by Simon Aug 7th, 2007 08:08

    I would have thought that social democracy should have a good claim on that, too.

    Possibly. But I doubt 5% of the population could give you a definition of social democracy.

    Also they are not nesscarly interwined. You could have a very unequal country with very fluid mobility. Inequality measures in the end comes down to statistics. You could have everyone well off but some more well off then others and be very unequal. But have everyone with an equal shot.

    I think I have written about social mobilty at some stage. Can’t find it though

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